The Impact Your Offense Has On Your Defense


Basketball is a free flowing game of alternating possessions. As a result, how your offensive possession ends impacts the results on the ensuing defensive possession. If you score, your opponent has to take the ball out of bounds and inbound it, which gives you extra time to get back on defense. That extra time to get back on defense helps your defense compared to if you missed a shot and the other team got the rebound. If you turn the ball over, your opponent may have a chance to score on a fast break. How much do these things actually impact your defensive efficiency though? At pbpstats.com you can filter stats by how the previous possession ends, so we can see exactly how teams do based on how the offensive possession starts. Here are the stats for the 2017-18 regular season.

Start Type League Average Efficiency
Off Live Ball Turnover 126.2
Off At Rim Block 118.7
Off At Rim Miss or Block 115.2
Off At Rim Miss 114.0
Off Any Missed FG 111.0
Off Corner 3 Miss 110.8
Off Long Mid-Range Miss 110.5
Off Any Mid-Range Miss 110.2
Off Short Mid-Range Miss 109.8
All 109.3
Off Any Missed 3 109.2
Off Arc 3 Miss 108.7
Off Missed FT 106.9
Off Made FT 106.6
Off Any Made FG 106.4
Off Dead Ball 106.1

You can see how bad live ball turnovers are because not only do you not score on your possession, but you give your opponent the highest valued possession type. This also highlights the value of scoring for your defense - efficiency after any made FG is 106.4 and after any missed FG it is 111.0. By simply scoring more you can help your defense. Not all missed shots are the same - missing a shot at the rim hurts your defense much more than missing a shot anywhere else on the floor. The only thing worse for your defense than missing or getting blocked at the rim is a live ball turnover. When you get to the free throw line, you should have a relatively set defense on the following defensive possession so it makes sense that efficiency is low in those spots. These numbers show that on the margins you can really help your defense by not turning the ball over, making shots and getting to the free throw line.

See also